Region 10 – California, Nevada and Arizona

General information on this sector:

·         Population

o   California 37.69 million

o   Nevada 2.72 million

o   Arizona 6.48 million

o   46.89 million total

·         Major metropolitan centers:

California

o   San Francisco – 739 thousand

o   Los Angeles – 3.84 million

o   San Diego – 1.26 million

o   Anaheim – 331 thousand

o   Bakersfield – 296 thousand

o   Chula Vista – 211 thousand

o   Fremont – 200 thousand

o   Fresno – 461 thousand

o   Glendale – 200 thousand

o   Long Beach – 474 thousand

o   Modesto – 207 thousand

o   Oakland – 395 thousand

o   Riverside – 290 thousand

o   Sacramento – 457 thousand

o   San Jose – 912 thousand

o   Santa Ana – 340 thousand

o   Stockton – 287 thousand

Arizona

o   Phoenix – 1.46 million

o   Chandler – 234 thousand

o   Glendale – 239 thousand

o   Mesa – 442 thousand

o   Scottsdale – 226 thousand

o   Tucson – 515 thousand

Nevada

o   Las Vegas – 545 thousand

o   Henderson – 232 thousand

o   14.79 million total

·         Objective: 

o   About 32% of the entire population of region 10 live in high density areas of 200 thousand or more.  These population densities are referred to as “threat areas” and are identified in FIG 1 as threat rings around those areas.  The red rings are the high threat or “red zone”  areas (25 mile radius around city centers) while the larger outer yellow rings (50 mile radius around city centers) are medium threat or “yellow zone” areas.  It isn’t until you move outside of the threat areas that you can consider your environment relatively safe again.  Even then, you must remain vigilant and be aware that a threat can present itself anywhere at any time.  The objective of this rally point plan is to move people out of chaotic high population density areas through initial rally points (user-selected points within the threat area) in route to intermediate rally points on public land (local, state or national parks and recreation areas, etc.).  Such areas will generally be within 5 days walk from threat areas centers.   Intermediate rally points will be outside of populated areas so that the survivors can take more time to prepare for their movement toward their respective final points which are all well outside of all threat areas. 

Initial Rally Points

Initial rally points are inside of the threat areas and are chosen to allow for quick stops for getting organized and as reference points for getting oriented.  They are selected by the members that live in that area.  The reason for this approach is because people who live and work in the area are going to know it better than any outside planner, what will or will not work as a staging area for their movement through, and eventually away from threat areas.  This is a simple matter of looking around the area in advance where you live and do two things:

1-      Select a location or locations that meet the description for an initial rally point in this plan

2-      Communicate this with individuals that you want to include in your plan and potentially have with you during your movement.  Selection of these points is based upon predictable local social reactions under emergency conditions as well as ease of access to allow for temporary safety and short term stops for members to check in, become organized and get any necessary medical attention, and / or distribution of supplies amongst persons in the group.  

.  When selecting these initial rally points, consider the following:

·         Should be public property but can also be private land owned by someone you are familiar with provided you have made prior arrangements to use the property

·         Preferred to be near main roads or highways maintaining easy access to egress route(s)

·         A potential source for shelter, food and water if necessary

·         If public or commercial property consider the following:

o   Church parking lots

o   Convention center parking lots

o   School / sport venue parking lots

·         Avoid using any of the following:

o   Liquor store parking lots

o   Grocery store parking lots

o   Convenience store parking lots

o   Drug store parking lots

o   Sporting goods store lots

o   Any area where there may be an increased incidence of looting, robbery, or loitering concentration of dangerous individuals or groups

o   Tunnels / underpasses

Initial rally points may or may not be used and can be bypassed to go directly to the intermediate rally points if conditions dictate and resources allow.

Route Entry Points

Route entry points are rally points established outside of the red zones with many outside of the yellow zones.  These rally points are established for larger numbers of members to use and to provide the first geographic location where members can expect to link up with others from their threat area.

Threat areas 1 - 7

Oakland (CA), San Francisco (CA), Freemont (CA), San Jose (CA), Sacramento (CA), Freemont (CA), San Jose (CA), Stockton (CA), Modesto (CA)

This entire area is geographically restricted to the west by the Pacific Ocean and, to the south by other threat areas.  The Sierra Nevada mountain range to the east is also a barrier but more importantly, a good place to gather with other Agora members.   Interstate highways running to the east and south will be useful in movement toward final points to the east.  With a combined population of approximately 32 million, the traffic leaving this threat area will be heavy.  During normal day to day life, this area experiences some of the worst traffic congestion in the country.  Throw a major event into the mix and you will see bottle necks and stoppages that could severely hamper or even completely prevent vehicle movement out of the area.  The best plan would include an early decision to move or an alternative to vehicle movement or both.

Threat Areas 1 - 7

Since these municipalities / cities are in such close relationship to each other, they are treated as a single threat area and will utilize the same basic egress plan to the east.

Route entry point for threat areas 1 - 7 – Intersection of SR-88 and SR-49, Martell, CA 

Coordinates for this threat area are: 38.365519, -120.794643

Final Rally Point for threat areas 1 – 7 – Humbolt-Tolyabe National Forest, Intersection of SR-844 and SR-21, Austin, NV 

Coordinates for this location are: 38.991540,  – 117.471475

Threat area 8

Fresno (CA)

Threat Area 8 - Fresno -

Fresno is isolated between threat areas 1 - 7 to the north and Bakersfield to the south.  This entire area is geographically restricted to the west by the Pacific Ocean and to the south by other threat areas.  Highways / roads running to the east and north will be useful in initial movement toward final points to the northeast or southeast.

Route entry point for Fresno – Intersection of SR-41 and SR-49, Oakhurst, CA 

Coordinates for this threat area are: 37.330961, -119.655841

Final Rally Point for Fresno – Humbolt-Tolyabe National Forest, Intersection of SR-844 and SR-21, Austin, NV 

Coordinates for this location are: 38.991540,  – 117.471475

Threat area 9

Bakersfield (CA)

Threat Area 9 – Bakersfield -

Like Fresno, Bakersfield is rather isolated between Fresno to the north and Glendale to the south.  This entire area is geographically restricted to the west by the Pacific Ocean and, to the south by other threat areas.  Interstate highways running to the east and north will be useful in initial movement toward final points to the northeast or southeast.

Route entry point for Bakersfield – Intersection of SR-14 and SR-58, Mojave, CA 

Coordinates for this threat area are: 35.099092, -118.144448

Final Rally Point for Bakersfield – Mojave National Preserve, Intersection of I-40 and CR-66, Essex, CA 

Coordinates for this location are: 34.812248,  – 115.190372

Threat areas 10 and 11

Las Vegas (NV) and Henderson (NV)

Threat Area 10 – Las Vegas –

Threat Area 11 – Henderson -

Route entry point for Las Vegas and Henderson – Intersection of I-15 and SR-161, Sloan, NV 

Coordinates for this threat area are: 35.780745, -115.328515

Final Rally Point for Las Vegas and Henderson – Mojave National Preserve, Intersection of I-40 and CR-66, Essex, CA 

Coordinates for this location are: 34.812248,  – 115.190372

Threat areas 12 - 17

Glendale (CA), Los Angeles (CA), Long Beach (CA), Santa Ana (CA), Riverside (CA), Anaheim (CA)

 Threat Area 12– Glendale

Threat Area 13 – Los Angeles

Threat Area 14 - Riverside

Threat Area 15 – Long Beach

Threat Area 16 – Santa Ana

Threat Area 17 – Anaheim

Route entry point for threat areas 12 - 17 – Intersection of I-15 and Stoddard Wells Rd, Victorville, CA

Coordinates for this location are: 34.590499, -117.259834

Final Rally Point for Las Vegas and Henderson – Mojave National Preserve, Intersection of I-40 and CR-66, Essex, CA 

Coordinates for this location are: 34.812248,  – 115.190372

Threat areas 18 - 19

San Diego (CA), Chula Vista (CA)

 Threat Areas 18 – 19

San Diego, Chula Vista – These threat areas are unique in that they are severely restricted to the west by the Pacific Ocean, to the north by concentration of other threat areas, and to the south by an international border with Mexico.  Add to this that the level of border security during extreme national emergencies may be poor at best.  This would likely result in a huge influx of people from Mexico taking advantage of the situation and fleeing to the US.  The best way to handle this situation would be to make your decision well in advance and making your move well ahead of the masses.  In any case, the distance from the center of this threat area must be greater than most other threat areas in order to gain any security advantage.  The typical 50 mile (yellow zone) radius should be extended out to a minimum of 75 miles.  This will require consideration for additional supplies for your movement to your  final rally points to the east and north.

Route entry point for threat areas 18 - 19 – Intersection of SR 111 and Tipton Rd, Palm Springs, CA

Coordinates for this location are: 33.903163, -116.643110

Final Rally Point for Las Vegas and Henderson – Mojave National Preserve, Intersection of I-40 and CR-66, Essex, CA 

Coordinates for this location are: 34.812248,  – 115.190372

Threat areas 20 - 24

Glendale (AZ), Phoenix (AZ), Scottsdale (AZ), Mesa (AZ) and Chandler (AZ)

 Threat Area 20 – Glendale

Threat Area 21 – Phoenix

Threat Area 22 – Scottsdale

Threat Area 23 – Mesa

Threat Area 24 – Chandler

Route entry point for threat areas 20 - 24 – Intersection of US 93 and US 60, Wickenburg, AZ

Coordinates for this location are: 33.971024, -112.727997

Final Rally Point for threat areas 20 - 24 – Prescott National Forest, Parking area north of Skyline Dr

Coordinates for this location are: 34.136475, -117.195402

Threat area 25

Tucson (AZ)

Threat Area 25 – Tucson

Route entry point for threat areas 20 - 24 – Intersection of US 93 and US 60, Wickenburg, AZ

Coordinates for this location are: 33.971024, -112.727997

Final Rally Point for threat areas 20 - 24 – Prescott National Forest, Parking area north of Skyline Dr

Coordinates for this location are: 34.136475, -117.195402